Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 18:00
12.1244.7%
X3.4327.6%
23.4227.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WWWLLDLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Rennes
LLLLWWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.00
Against
4.50
8.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Rennes conceded1.40
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.90goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.50
8.20
Match total
8.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
28.00
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.80
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches924
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%44.5%-0.2 pp
Draw27.6%29.2%+1.6 pp
Away27.7%26.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.481.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-011.5%
2-19.4%
0-17.6%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.45
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=924.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches299
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.8%28.7%–39.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%33.1%–44.1% CI
Away FT27.8%23.0%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.2%
Away49.8%