Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 16:00
12.4338.9%
X3.9024.3%
22.5736.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
LDWWWDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Paris SG
WDWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
3.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
3.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.90
Against
4.00
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
3.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.20
Matchup

Paris SG attack

3.00goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
2.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.00
8.70
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.80
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
23.40
Match total
18.60

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
4.30
On target
8.70
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%53.3%+14.4 pp
Draw24.3%13.3%-10.9 pp
Away36.8%33.3%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.556.7%
BTTS73.3%

Historical average

2.031.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.3%
2-110.0%
0-210.0%
4-110.0%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.13
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals84.6%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away84.6%