Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 19:45
11.4963.5%
X4.6320.4%
25.9016.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WDWDWWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brest
LLLWWWDLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
2.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.40
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.70goals per match
Brest conceded1.60
Matchup

Brest attack

1.60goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
2.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
24.90
Match total
27.00

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.70
On target
4.70
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.5%61.7%-1.8 pp
Draw20.4%18.4%-2.0 pp
Away16.0%19.9%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

2.211.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-18.5%
1-07.8%
1-27.1%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.07
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Away FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away50.0%