Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 16:15
12.9432.3%
X3.2729.0%
22.4538.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LLWDDLWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Toulouse
LLWDDWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.30
Against
4.50
11.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.50
11.00
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.40
Match total
24.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%29.6%-2.6 pp
Draw29.0%28.1%-0.9 pp
Away38.7%42.2%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.131.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-111.6%
1-08.9%
2-18.4%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.935.08
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%19.5%–33.8% CI
Draw FT36.6%29.1%–44.8% CI
Away FT37.3%29.8%–45.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away56.3%