Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 16:15
11.5959.6%
X4.2022.6%
25.3017.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
LWLLWLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Auxerre
WLLLLDWDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.30
Against
5.90
8.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.00goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.80
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.30goals per match
Lens conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.90
8.80
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.20
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.70
Match total
24.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.6%63.2%+3.7 pp
Draw22.6%17.6%-4.9 pp
Away17.9%19.1%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

2.070.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.9%
2-010.0%
2-19.7%
1-19.1%
3-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.80
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.4%42.1%–64.4% CI
Draw FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Away FT15.1%8.6%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.9%
Away34.2%