Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 14:00
15.8916.1%
X3.9923.8%
21.5860.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
LLWWDLLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lille
DDDDLWLLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.40
Against
4.90
8.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Angers attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded1.50
Matchup

Lille attack

1.20goals per match
Angers conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.90
8.90
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.20
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.20
Match total
23.00

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
2.40
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.1%10.7%-5.5 pp
Draw23.8%25.3%+1.5 pp
Away60.1%64.0%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS44.0%

Historical average

0.731.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.7%
1-212.0%
1-110.7%
0-210.7%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.525.72
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.530.7%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%2.1%–24.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT57.7%38.9%–74.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.9%
Away69.2%