Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 20:05
11.7654.0%
X4.0923.2%
24.1722.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
DWWWDWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rennes
LLLLLWWLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.20goals per match
Rennes conceded1.40
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.80goals per match
Lyon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.90
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%56.1%+2.1 pp
Draw23.2%27.0%+3.8 pp
Away22.8%16.8%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.941.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
2-010.2%
1-08.7%
2-17.7%
3-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.98
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Away FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals51.1%
3+ goals28.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away48.9%