Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 20:05
11.7654.0%
X4.0923.2%
24.1722.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
DWWWDWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rennes
LLLLLWWLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
2.20goals per matchRennes conceded1.40Matchup
Rennes attack
1.80goals per matchLyon conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.20
Match total
27.10
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.90
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%56.1%+2.1 pp
Draw23.2%27.0%+3.8 pp
Away22.8%16.8%-5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
1.94–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.3%
2-010.2%
1-08.7%
2-17.7%
3-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.98
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Away FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals51.1%
3+ goals28.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away48.9%