Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 18:00
16.7814.0%
X5.0018.9%
21.4167.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
LLLLLLLDWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Monaco
WLDDLLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
2.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.50
Against
2.10
9.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
2.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.30goals per match
Le Havre conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
2.10
9.00
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
24.60
Match total
28.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.10
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%14.3%+0.3 pp
Draw18.9%14.3%-4.6 pp
Away67.1%71.4%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

0.902.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.1%
0-111.1%
1-311.1%
1-19.5%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.466.13
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT72.2%49.1%–87.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals38.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away88.9%