Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 19:45
11.6956.4%
X4.4421.5%
24.3222.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WDWWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Nice
WLDWLDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.80
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Nice conceded1.70
Matchup

Nice attack

1.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.10
Match total
3.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
19.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
8.00
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%43.9%-12.5 pp
Draw21.5%39.0%+17.5 pp
Away22.1%17.1%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS68.3%

Historical average

1.851.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
3-19.8%
0-09.8%
2-17.3%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.494.66
Average total11.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away33.3%