Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 19:45
11.6956.4%
X4.4421.5%
24.3222.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WDWWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Nice
WLDWLDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.70
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.80
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.40goals per matchNice conceded1.70Matchup
Nice attack
1.90goals per matchParis SG conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
19.00
Match total
24.30
Shots
19.30N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
8.00
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%43.9%-12.5 pp
Draw21.5%39.0%+17.5 pp
Away22.1%17.1%-5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS68.3%
Historical average
1.85–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.1%
3-19.8%
0-09.8%
2-17.3%
2-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.49–4.66
Average total11.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.539.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away33.3%