Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-22 · 19:45
16.9413.7%
X5.1518.4%
21.4067.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
DLLWDDLWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Paris SG
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
3.20
1.20
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
3.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.70
Against
3.70
11.40
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
3.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
1.00goals per matchParis SG conceded1.10Matchup
Paris SG attack
3.20goals per matchNantes conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
2.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.70
Corners against
3.70
11.40
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
26.10
Match total
18.30
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
18.60N=10
4.00
On target
9.00
8%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.7%20.0%+6.3 pp
Draw18.4%10.0%-8.4 pp
Away67.9%70.0%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS43.3%
Historical average
0.82–2.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-313.3%
0-211.7%
0-311.7%
0-110.0%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.20–6.62
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away75.0%