Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 19:45
14.8319.6%
X4.3921.6%
21.6158.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
WWLWDLDLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lyon
DWLLDLWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
2.10
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.50
Against
4.90
10.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.50goals per match
Lyon conceded1.60
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.90
10.40
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.50
On target
6.00
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%14.3%-5.3 pp
Draw21.6%28.6%+7.0 pp
Away58.8%57.1%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS62.9%

Historical average

1.092.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
2-111.4%
0-111.4%
0-311.4%
2-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.54
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals36.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away80.0%