Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 16:15
13.2429.2%
X3.3028.7%
22.2542.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
DLDLDLLLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Toulouse
WLLWDDWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Reims attack

0.80goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.30
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.60goals per match
Reims conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.60
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches740
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.2%28.0%-1.3 pp
Draw28.7%24.2%-4.5 pp
Away42.1%47.8%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.081.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
1-111.8%
1-210.8%
1-09.5%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.10
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=740.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.3%22.8%–34.5% CI
Draw FT35.4%29.5%–41.8% CI
Away FT36.3%30.3%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals19.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away56.2%