Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 16:15
12.3540.3%
X3.3528.3%
23.0231.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brest
DLWWWLDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Lens
WLWDWWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
4.40
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brest attack
1.80goals per matchLens conceded1.00Matchup
Lens attack
1.20goals per matchBrest conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.40
8.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
22.80
Match total
26.20
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches772
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%41.6%+1.3 pp
Draw28.3%26.9%-1.3 pp
Away31.4%31.5%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
1.45–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-19.3%
1-08.8%
1-28.3%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–4.67
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=771.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches220
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.0%29.0%–41.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%33.3%–46.1% CI
Away FT25.5%20.2%–31.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals15.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away47.3%