Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 14:00
11.5063.2%
X4.2622.3%
26.5414.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
DWWDWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Auxerre
DWLLLLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.70goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.70
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.40goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches309
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%63.1%-0.1 pp
Draw22.3%22.0%-0.3 pp
Away14.5%14.9%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.870.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.8%
1-111.0%
2-010.0%
2-18.4%
3-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.41
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=309.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.4%43.1%–63.5% CI
Draw FT30.7%22.0%–41.0% CI
Away FT15.9%9.7%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals30.7%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away36.4%