Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 20:05
11.2078.7%
X6.9513.6%
212.247.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
LWDWDWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Montpellier
LLLLWLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.50
2.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.50
Against
5.90
8.60
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
2.30goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.40Matchup
Montpellier attack
0.20goals per matchMarseille conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.90
8.60
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.60
Match total
25.00
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.40
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
2%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.7%81.2%+2.5 pp
Draw13.6%9.9%-3.7 pp
Away7.7%8.9%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.540.6%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
2.84–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.9%
3-013.9%
2-07.9%
1-07.9%
1-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.09–3.01
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.533.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals65.2%
3+ goals34.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home87.0%
Away43.5%