Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 20:05
11.2078.7%
X6.9513.6%
212.247.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
LWDWDWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Montpellier
LLLLWLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
2.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.50
Against
5.90
8.60
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.30goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.40
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.20goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.90
8.60
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.60
Match total
25.00

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.40
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.7%81.2%+2.5 pp
Draw13.6%9.9%-3.7 pp
Away7.7%8.9%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.540.6%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

2.840.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.9%
3-013.9%
2-07.9%
1-07.9%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.01
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals65.2%
3+ goals34.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.0%
Away43.5%