Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 19:45
11.8152.4%
X3.6526.0%
24.4021.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rennes
LWWLLWLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Nantes
LDLDDWLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.10
Against
5.90
8.00
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.40
2.50
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rennes attack
1.20goals per matchNantes conceded2.40Matchup
Nantes attack
1.30goals per matchRennes conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.90
8.00
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.10
Match total
21.90
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches465
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%60.4%+8.0 pp
Draw26.0%22.8%-3.2 pp
Away21.6%16.8%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS44.5%
Historical average
1.72–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
2-011.8%
2-111.0%
1-110.1%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.10
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=465.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%35.9%–51.6% CI
Draw FT38.9%31.5%–46.9% CI
Away FT17.4%12.2%–24.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.4%
Away35.6%