Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 19:45
13.4727.3%
X3.7125.5%
22.0147.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
WWDDDDDWLW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Lyon
DDWLLDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.30
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
3.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.40goals per match
Lyon conceded1.60
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.80goals per match
Auxerre conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.40
Match total
23.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.60
On target
5.60
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%33.8%+6.5 pp
Draw25.5%24.6%-0.9 pp
Away47.1%41.5%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.291.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-010.0%
2-19.2%
1-28.5%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.575.16
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.5%
Away54.8%