Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 18:00
12.8533.3%
X3.2529.2%
22.5337.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DWWWLLDLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lille
WDDDDLWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.30
8.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Lille conceded1.40
Matchup

Lille attack

1.20goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.30
8.60
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.40
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.90
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches742
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%30.6%-2.7 pp
Draw29.2%29.4%+0.2 pp
Away37.5%40.0%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.121.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
0-111.6%
0-010.4%
1-08.6%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.784.87
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=742.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches259
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.2%–36.4% CI
Draw FT39.0%33.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT30.5%25.2%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away47.5%