Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 16:00
12.0247.0%
X3.8524.6%
23.3428.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
DLWWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Marseille
WWWWWLWLLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.80
Against
2.70
8.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.60goals per match
Marseille conceded1.40
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
2.70
8.50
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.90
Match total
21.60

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
6.30
On target
6.30
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%43.2%-3.7 pp
Draw24.6%25.7%+1.0 pp
Away28.4%31.1%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS63.5%

Historical average

1.761.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-213.5%
1-210.8%
1-19.5%
0-18.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.37
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.549.3%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away57.9%