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Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 19:45

Marseille

vs

Toulouse

11.7653.9%
X3.8224.8%
24.4721.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
LLWDWDWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Toulouse
WWLLWDDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.60
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.00
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.70goals per match
Marseille conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
8.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.10
Match total
25.40

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.10
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches621
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%59.3%+5.3 pp
Draw24.8%24.0%-0.9 pp
Away21.2%16.7%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.85–0.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-111.9%
1-011.1%
2-09.5%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.12–3.95
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=621.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.9%39.4%–54.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%29.4%–44.1% CI
Away FT16.7%11.7%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away41.4%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamToulouseForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMarseille vs ToulouseCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.