Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
11.5561.2%
X4.3921.6%
25.5017.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
LWLWLLWLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
St Etienne
LLLLLDLLDW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.10
Against
5.70
8.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.80
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.20goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.50
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.10
Corners against
5.70
8.50
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.90
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches277
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.2%64.6%+3.5 pp
Draw21.6%18.4%-3.2 pp
Away17.2%17.0%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

2.200.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.2%
1-19.4%
2-19.4%
2-07.6%
3-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.94
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=277.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%36.5%–59.4% CI
Draw FT40.6%29.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT11.6%6.0%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.5%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.4%
Away44.9%