Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 20:05
12.2642.1%
X3.5626.7%
23.0531.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WDWWWDWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lille
DWDDDDLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
5.80
10.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.20goals per match
Lille conceded1.20
Matchup

Lille attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.80
10.00
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Match total
5.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.80
Match total
23.20

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches523
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%39.2%-2.9 pp
Draw26.7%27.9%+1.2 pp
Away31.2%32.9%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.461.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
1-09.6%
1-28.2%
2-18.2%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.69
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=522.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%26.9%–42.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT26.4%19.8%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away48.6%