Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 19:45
11.5163.2%
X4.3521.9%
26.4314.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
WDWWWWWWLD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nantes
LLDLDDWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.60
2.80
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.80goals per matchNantes conceded2.60Matchup
Nantes attack
1.20goals per matchNice conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.00
Match total
22.80
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.90
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches314
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%66.2%+3.0 pp
Draw21.9%18.8%-3.2 pp
Away14.8%15.0%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS46.5%
Historical average
2.06–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.1%
1-013.1%
2-19.2%
1-19.2%
3-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.32–3.75
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=314.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.2%46.3%–69.3% CI
Draw FT29.9%20.2%–41.7% CI
Away FT11.9%6.2%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.1%
Away29.9%