Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 19:45
11.5163.2%
X4.3521.9%
26.4314.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WDWWWWWWLD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nantes
LLDLDDWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.60
2.80
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.80goals per match
Nantes conceded2.60
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.20goals per match
Nice conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.90
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches314
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%66.2%+3.0 pp
Draw21.9%18.8%-3.2 pp
Away14.8%15.0%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

2.060.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.1%
1-013.1%
2-19.2%
1-19.2%
3-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.75
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=314.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.2%46.3%–69.3% CI
Draw FT29.9%20.2%–41.7% CI
Away FT11.9%6.2%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.1%
Away29.9%