Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 19:45
12.0147.2%
X3.4827.2%
23.7025.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lens
DWLWDWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.80goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.40goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
24.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.20
On target
4.40
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches877
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%47.0%-0.2 pp
Draw27.2%29.0%+1.7 pp
Away25.6%24.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.511.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.2%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.37
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=877.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches299
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.1%35.7%–46.8% CI
Draw FT36.5%31.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT22.4%18.0%–27.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away39.8%