Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 16:15
13.0331.3%
X3.2828.9%
22.3839.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
LWLLLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Nantes
LLLDLDDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.00
2.20
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded
2.50
2.70
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.50goals per match
Nantes conceded2.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Le Havre conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
9.80
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
24.60
Match total
21.80

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
2.90
On target
4.00
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches660
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%32.6%+1.3 pp
Draw28.9%24.7%-4.2 pp
Away39.8%42.7%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.121.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.1%
0-110.9%
1-28.8%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.07
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=660.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%26.6%–38.8% CI
Draw FT35.6%29.6%–42.1% CI
Away FT32.0%26.2%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away49.5%