Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 16:15
11.7554.1%
X3.8224.8%
24.5021.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
WWWDDDDDWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Montpellier
LLLLLLWLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.60
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.50goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.70Matchup
Montpellier attack
0.50goals per matchAuxerre conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.20
Match total
25.90
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches584
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%59.4%+5.3 pp
Draw24.8%24.0%-0.8 pp
Away21.1%16.6%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
1.85–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.7%
1-112.3%
1-011.3%
2-010.4%
2-25.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.03–3.91
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=584.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.0%42.3%–57.7% CI
Draw FT34.4%27.5%–42.0% CI
Away FT15.6%10.8%–22.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals21.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.1%
Away42.5%