Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 16:15
11.7554.1%
X3.8224.8%
24.5021.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
WWWDDDDDWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Montpellier
LLLLLLWLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.60
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.50goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.70
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.50goals per match
Auxerre conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.20
Match total
25.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches584
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%59.4%+5.3 pp
Draw24.8%24.0%-0.8 pp
Away21.1%16.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.850.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
1-112.3%
1-011.3%
2-010.4%
2-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.91
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=584.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.0%42.3%–57.7% CI
Draw FT34.4%27.5%–42.0% CI
Away FT15.6%10.8%–22.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.1%
Away42.5%