Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 14:00
12.0247.1%
X3.3528.4%
23.8724.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
LDWWWLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brest
WLLLLWWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.10
Against
4.10
8.00
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.10goals per matchBrest conceded1.50Matchup
Brest attack
1.20goals per matchToulouse conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.10
8.00
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.30
Match total
26.00
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.90
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches998
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%48.9%+1.8 pp
Draw28.4%27.2%-1.2 pp
Away24.6%23.9%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.50–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
1-012.6%
2-110.4%
2-09.7%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.24
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=998.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches334
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT40.1%35.0%–45.5% CI
Draw FT36.8%31.8%–42.1% CI
Away FT23.1%18.9%–27.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away40.1%