Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:05
11.9050.0%
X3.8324.8%
23.7625.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WDLWWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Nice
DDWLDWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
6.40
8.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.60goals per match
Nice conceded1.40
Matchup

Nice attack

1.70goals per match
Monaco conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.40
8.20
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
26.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.40
On target
5.50
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%50.4%+0.4 pp
Draw24.8%27.7%+2.9 pp
Away25.2%21.9%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

1.881.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
2-110.2%
2-08.6%
1-27.8%
2-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.35
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%31.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT18.1%10.9%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals26.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away52.8%