Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 18:00
116.455.8%
X9.1210.4%
21.1383.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
WLWWLWDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Paris SG
DWWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.70
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
6.10
Against
3.90
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.40goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.70goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.90
9.70
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.80
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.50
Match total
17.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
18.30N=10
3.50
On target
8.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home5.8%8.3%+2.6 pp
Draw10.4%0.0%-10.4 pp
Away83.9%91.7%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.172.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-225.0%
2-416.7%
2-316.7%
1-216.7%
0-58.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.927.25
Average total11.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%