Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 16:00
15.4817.4%
X4.1822.8%
21.5959.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reims
WLDLDLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Marseille
LWWWWWLWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
3.50
8.90
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reims attack
1.00goals per matchMarseille conceded1.20Matchup
Marseille attack
1.70goals per matchReims conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.50
8.90
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.20
Match total
22.50
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.30
On target
5.80
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%11.6%-5.8 pp
Draw22.8%19.7%-3.0 pp
Away59.9%68.7%+8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
0.86–2.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.3%
1-111.6%
1-210.9%
0-28.8%
1-38.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.18–5.88
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Draw FT25.6%14.9%–40.2% CI
Away FT60.5%45.6%–73.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.2%
Away79.1%