Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 16:00
15.4817.4%
X4.1822.8%
21.5959.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
WLDLDLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Marseille
LWWWWWLWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
3.50
8.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.00goals per match
Marseille conceded1.20
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Reims conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
0%0/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.50
8.90
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.20
Match total
22.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.30
On target
5.80
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%11.6%-5.8 pp
Draw22.8%19.7%-3.0 pp
Away59.9%68.7%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

0.862.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-111.6%
1-210.9%
0-28.8%
1-38.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.185.88
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Draw FT25.6%14.9%–40.2% CI
Away FT60.5%45.6%–73.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away79.1%