Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-28 · 19:45
12.7434.7%
X3.6526.0%
22.4239.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
WDWLDWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lyon
WDDWLLDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
8.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.60goals per match
Lyon conceded1.20
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
Strasbourg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
8.00
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.60
Match total
23.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
5.30
16%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%38.0%+3.3 pp
Draw26.0%26.7%+0.7 pp
Away39.3%35.3%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.511.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-18.1%
1-07.7%
1-27.2%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.485.17
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.562.0%
Over 10.550.2%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.3%32.5%–56.7% CI
Draw FT36.1%25.2%–48.6% CI
Away FT19.7%11.6%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away42.6%