Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 19:45
11.4466.1%
X5.0818.7%
26.2615.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWDWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Marseille
WLWWWWWLWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.60goals per matchMarseille conceded1.10Matchup
Marseille attack
1.90goals per matchParis SG conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.30
Match total
22.90
Shots
19.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
8.30
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%77.6%+11.5 pp
Draw18.7%17.2%-1.5 pp
Away15.2%5.2%-10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
2.50–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-110.3%
2-010.3%
3-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–3.86
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away50.0%