Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 19:45
11.4466.1%
X5.0818.7%
26.2615.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWDWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Marseille
WLWWWWWLWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.60goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.30
Match total
22.90

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
8.30
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%77.6%+11.5 pp
Draw18.7%17.2%-1.5 pp
Away15.2%5.2%-10.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

2.500.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-110.3%
2-010.3%
3-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.86
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away50.0%