Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 16:15
12.2043.2%
X3.6626.0%
23.0930.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LLWDDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
St Etienne
DLLLLLDLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
2.70
Conceded
2.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
9.80
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
2.70
Goals conceded
2.70
3.80
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.10goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.70
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.00goals per match
Montpellier conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
9.80
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.30
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches368
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%39.4%-3.8 pp
Draw26.0%28.5%+2.5 pp
Away30.8%32.1%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.531.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
2-18.7%
0-08.7%
1-07.9%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.57
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=367.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%25.5%–43.7% CI
Draw FT42.0%32.8%–51.8% CI
Away FT24.0%16.7%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away40.0%