Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 14:00
11.3669.8%
X5.2818.0%
27.7612.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
LWDWWWDWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Le Havre
LLLWLLDDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
6.60
10.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
Le Havre conceded1.90
Matchup

Le Havre attack

1.30goals per match
Lyon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.60
10.80
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.10
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.30
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%71.8%+2.0 pp
Draw18.0%19.8%+1.8 pp
Away12.2%8.4%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.540.1%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

2.390.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-011.9%
2-010.9%
2-110.4%
1-09.4%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.263.38
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.558.4%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.0%40.4%–67.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%27.6%–53.8% CI
Away FT6.0%2.1%–16.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals58.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.0%
Away32.0%