Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 20:05
12.0845.8%
X3.4527.6%
23.5926.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
DLWLWLLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Rennes
LLDLLLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.10
Against
3.70
9.10
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.10goals per match
Rennes conceded1.80
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.30goals per match
Lens conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.10
Corners against
3.70
9.10
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.20
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches538
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%46.1%+0.3 pp
Draw27.6%28.3%+0.6 pp
Away26.5%25.7%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.531.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-011.7%
2-18.9%
2-07.8%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.42
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=538.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%29.6%–43.8% CI
Draw FT37.0%30.2%–44.4% CI
Away FT26.6%20.6%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.4%
Away50.3%