Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 16:00
13.5426.9%
X3.3428.5%
22.1444.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DDLLWDDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lille
WDWDDDDLWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.60
Against
5.60
11.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Lille conceded1.10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.60
11.80
Match total
10.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches473
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.9%24.7%-2.2 pp
Draw28.5%29.2%+0.6 pp
Away44.5%46.1%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.001.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.4%
1-112.3%
0-011.0%
1-210.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.12
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=473.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT18.6%13.3%–25.4% CI
Draw FT43.6%36.1%–51.4% CI
Away FT37.8%30.6%–45.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals28.8%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.7%
Away51.9%