Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 16:15
12.4638.6%
X3.2629.1%
22.9432.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
DWLDLDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Auxerre
LLLDWLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
7.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.70
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.10goals per match
Auxerre conceded2.50
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.40goals per match
Reims conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
0%0/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
7.90
Match total
8.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.70
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.00
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches600
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%43.0%+4.4 pp
Draw29.1%28.2%-1.0 pp
Away32.3%28.8%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.421.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-010.7%
2-110.5%
0-110.0%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.76
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=600.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.1%21.3%–33.8% CI
Draw FT41.1%34.4%–48.2% CI
Away FT31.8%25.6%–38.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away51.6%