Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 16:15
12.5836.8%
X3.3028.7%
22.7534.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
LDDLLWDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Strasbourg
LLLLWWDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.00
Against
4.80
11.50
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
1.20goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.40Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.30goals per matchNantes conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.80
11.50
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.00
Match total
22.40
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches987
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%35.1%-1.7 pp
Draw28.7%29.9%+1.1 pp
Away34.5%35.1%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.25–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
0-110.6%
1-09.6%
1-28.4%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.66
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=987.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches316
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.2%23.5%–33.4% CI
Draw FT40.5%35.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT31.3%26.5%–36.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.4%
Away53.5%