Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
13.8624.8%
X3.8724.7%
21.8950.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DLLLWWLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brest
WWWDDWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.30
Matchup

Brest attack

2.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
28.00
Match total
25.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%26.7%+1.9 pp
Draw24.7%18.1%-6.6 pp
Away50.6%55.2%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.201.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.3%
0-18.1%
1-18.1%
1-07.1%
0-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.345.63
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI
Draw FT29.7%19.9%–41.8% CI
Away FT42.2%30.9%–54.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away59.4%