Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.4068.0%
X5.2518.1%
26.8713.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WLLDLDDWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nantes
LLDWWLWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.50
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.30goals per match
Nantes conceded0.80
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.80
Match total
23.60

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.20
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%78.0%+10.0 pp
Draw18.1%9.8%-8.4 pp
Away13.9%12.2%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.551.2%
BTTS70.7%

Historical average

2.321.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-124.4%
2-114.6%
3-29.8%
2-07.3%
1-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.34
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%