Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
15.0618.9%
X4.4421.5%
21.6059.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Metz
LLLLLWLWLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Paris SG
WDWWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.30
1.80
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
8.50
Total
10.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.30
1.80
Goals conceded
0.60
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Metz attack
1.00goals per matchParis SG conceded0.60Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.30goals per matchMetz conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
8.50
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
26.70
Match total
21.40
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.60
On target
5.10
9%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%12.9%-6.0 pp
Draw21.5%19.4%-2.1 pp
Away59.6%67.7%+8.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.00–2.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.4%
0-312.9%
2-39.7%
2-19.7%
2-29.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.10–5.84
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away72.2%