Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.4167.6%
X5.1018.7%
26.9413.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
LWWLWWLDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Strasbourg
DWDDLDWDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
9.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.60goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.40
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.20goals per match
Lyon conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
9.20
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
23.00
Match total
27.40

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.20
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.6%87.9%+20.3 pp
Draw18.7%12.1%-6.6 pp
Away13.7%0.0%-13.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.560.6%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

2.970.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-115.2%
2-012.1%
2-19.1%
3-29.1%
4-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.243.36
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away39.1%