Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.6757.1%
X4.2822.3%
24.6320.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
LLLDWLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Clermont
LLWLLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
2.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
7.30
8.80
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchClermont conceded2.00Matchup
Clermont attack
0.60goals per matchLorient conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.30
8.80
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.90
Match total
22.30
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%56.9%-0.2 pp
Draw22.3%29.2%+6.9 pp
Away20.6%13.8%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
1.97–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.5%
2-113.8%
2-010.8%
1-09.2%
2-26.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.68–4.55
Average total11.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.544.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away58.3%