Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.6757.1%
X4.2822.3%
24.6320.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LLLDWLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Clermont
LLWLLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
2.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
7.30
8.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Clermont conceded2.00
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.60goals per match
Lorient conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.30
8.80
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.90
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%56.9%-0.2 pp
Draw22.3%29.2%+6.9 pp
Away20.6%13.8%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.971.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
2-113.8%
2-010.8%
1-09.2%
2-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.684.55
Average total11.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.544.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away58.3%