Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.6458.0%
X4.0323.6%
25.1818.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWWWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nice
LLLDLLWDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.20
Against
4.50
8.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.40goals per match
Nice conceded1.30
Matchup

Nice attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.50
8.90
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
28.10
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.70
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%59.8%+1.7 pp
Draw23.6%19.1%-4.5 pp
Away18.4%21.1%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.790.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.6%
1-012.2%
2-010.2%
3-08.5%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.123.98
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=246.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%41.1%–62.4% CI
Draw FT24.7%16.6%–35.1% CI
Away FT23.5%15.6%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.7%
Away39.5%