Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.6458.0%
X4.0323.6%
25.1818.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WDWWWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nice
LLLDLLWDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.20
Against
4.50
8.90
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.40goals per matchNice conceded1.30Matchup
Nice attack
1.00goals per matchLille conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.50
8.90
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
28.10
Match total
24.90
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.70
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%59.8%+1.7 pp
Draw23.6%19.1%-4.5 pp
Away18.4%21.1%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
1.79–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.6%
1-012.2%
2-010.2%
3-08.5%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.12–3.98
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=246.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%41.1%–62.4% CI
Draw FT24.7%16.6%–35.1% CI
Away FT23.5%15.6%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.7%
Away39.5%