Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
11.4366.3%
X4.9819.0%
26.4514.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWLWLWLDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Montpellier
LWLLLWWDWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Against
6.80
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.60goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.40
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.80
9.80
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.80
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.40
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.3%75.4%+9.2 pp
Draw19.0%19.3%+0.3 pp
Away14.7%5.3%-9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.552.6%
BTTS64.9%

Historical average

2.610.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.0%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%
1-18.8%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.113.58
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%