Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
14.4121.6%
X3.7225.6%
21.8152.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Le Havre
LWWLLWLLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Marseille
DWDLLWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Le Havre attack
1.10goals per matchMarseille conceded1.50Matchup
Marseille attack
1.40goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.00
Match total
26.90
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%22.2%+0.5 pp
Draw25.6%24.9%-0.8 pp
Away52.7%53.0%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.09–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-211.4%
0-110.3%
1-29.2%
1-18.6%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–5.74
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%14.7%–36.0% CI
Draw FT32.2%21.7%–44.9% CI
Away FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals20.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away61.0%