Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 20:00
14.4121.6%
X3.7225.6%
21.8152.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
LWWLLWLLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Marseille
DWDLLWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

1.10goals per match
Marseille conceded1.50
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.40goals per match
Le Havre conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.00
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches185
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%22.2%+0.5 pp
Draw25.6%24.9%-0.8 pp
Away52.7%53.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.091.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
0-110.3%
1-29.2%
1-18.6%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.74
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=185.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%14.7%–36.0% CI
Draw FT32.2%21.7%–44.9% CI
Away FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away61.0%