Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 20:00
13.2229.7%
X3.6426.3%
22.1744.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reims
LWWDLDLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Marseille
LDWDLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reims attack
0.90goals per matchMarseille conceded1.50Matchup
Marseille attack
1.40goals per matchReims conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.20
Match total
27.70
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%30.6%+0.9 pp
Draw26.3%24.5%-1.7 pp
Away44.1%44.9%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
1.35–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.1%
1-28.7%
0-07.2%
2-16.8%
0-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.73–5.05
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%18.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI
Away FT34.2%24.4%–45.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals53.4%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away57.5%