Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 20:00
12.4439.2%
X3.7325.6%
22.7235.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WWWWLDLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Paris SG
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.40
0.80
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.50
Against
5.60
8.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.40
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.40goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.50
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Nice conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.60
8.90
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.10
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.30
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.50
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%40.4%+1.3 pp
Draw25.6%22.5%-3.2 pp
Away35.2%37.1%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.631.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-210.1%
2-17.9%
3-26.7%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.34
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away55.6%