Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 20:00
12.4439.2%
X3.7325.6%
22.7235.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
WWWWLDLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Paris SG
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.40
0.80
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.50
Against
5.60
8.90
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.40
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.40goals per matchParis SG conceded0.50Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.40goals per matchNice conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.60
8.90
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.10
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.30
Match total
21.10
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.50
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%40.4%+1.3 pp
Draw25.6%22.5%-3.2 pp
Away35.2%37.1%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS64.0%
Historical average
1.63–1.51
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-210.1%
2-17.9%
3-26.7%
0-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.34
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.9%
Away55.6%