Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
12.1843.7%
X3.6026.5%
23.1929.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
DWWLLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Metz
WLLLDLWLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
6.30
9.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.30goals per match
Metz conceded1.80
Matchup

Metz attack

1.20goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.30
9.60
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.6%+1.9 pp
Draw26.5%28.7%+2.3 pp
Away29.9%25.7%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.491.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-012.2%
2-08.6%
2-17.9%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.47
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches194
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.7%32.1%–45.7% CI
Draw FT40.2%33.6%–47.2% CI
Away FT21.1%16.0%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.3%
Away44.3%