Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
11.3968.7%
X5.5217.3%
26.8014.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWDWDDDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Toulouse
DLLWWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
11.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
4.10
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
100%10/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.60goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
11.00
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
21.40
Match total
30.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%83.7%+15.1 pp
Draw17.3%7.0%-10.3 pp
Away14.0%9.3%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS65.1%

Historical average

2.440.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-123.3%
2-116.3%
1-011.6%
3-29.3%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.77
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away42.9%