Ligue 1 · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 20:00
11.3968.7%
X5.5217.3%
26.8014.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWDWDDDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Toulouse
DLLWWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
11.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
4.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.60goals per matchToulouse conceded1.10Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.40goals per matchParis SG conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
11.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
21.40
Match total
30.80
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%83.7%+15.1 pp
Draw17.3%7.0%-10.3 pp
Away14.0%9.3%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS65.1%
Historical average
2.44–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-123.3%
2-116.3%
1-011.6%
3-29.3%
2-09.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.77
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away42.9%